When Traffic Flow Prediction Meets Wireless Big Data Analytics
This is an incremental improvement for urban traffic management to address congestion problems.
The paper tackles traffic flow prediction for Intelligent Transportation Systems by optimizing a time series model with actual data, showing performance improvement over a normal model in a case study.
Traffic flow prediction is an important research issue for solving the traffic congestion problem in an Intelligent Transportation System (ITS). Traffic congestion is one of the most serious problems in a city, which can be predicted in advance by analyzing traffic flow patterns. Such prediction is possible by analyzing the real-time transportation data from correlative roads and vehicles. This article first gives a brief introduction to the transportation data, and surveys the state-of-the-art prediction methods. Then, we verify whether or not the prediction performance is able to be improved by fitting actual data to optimize the parameters of the prediction model which is used to predict the traffic flow. Such verification is conducted by comparing the optimized time series prediction model with the normal time series prediction model. This means that in the era of big data, accurate use of the data becomes the focus of studying the traffic flow prediction to solve the congestion problem. Finally, experimental results of a case study are provided to verify the existence of such performance improvement, while the research challenges of this data-analytics-based prediction are presented and discussed.