DSLGSTJul 18, 2018

Learning Sums of Independent Random Variables with Sparse Collective Support

arXiv:1807.07013v217 citations
AI Analysis

This addresses a theoretical learning problem in probability and statistics, offering new algorithmic insights with tight bounds, but it is incremental as it builds on prior work in distribution learning.

The paper tackles the problem of learning sums of independent integer random variables with bounded collective support, providing algorithms for cases with support sizes 3 and arbitrary constant k≥4, achieving poly(1/ε) sample complexity and runtime, and proving matching lower bounds (e.g., Ω(log log a₄) samples for |A|=4).

We study the learnability of sums of independent integer random variables given a bound on the size of the union of their supports. For $\mathcal{A} \subset \mathbf{Z}_{+}$, a sum of independent random variables with collective support $\mathcal{A}$} (called an $\mathcal{A}$-sum in this paper) is a distribution $\mathbf{S} = \mathbf{X}_1 + \cdots + \mathbf{X}_N$ where the $\mathbf{X}_i$'s are mutually independent (but not necessarily identically distributed) integer random variables with $\cup_i \mathsf{supp}(\mathbf{X}_i) \subseteq \mathcal{A}.$ We give two main algorithmic results for learning such distributions: 1. For the case $| \mathcal{A} | = 3$, we give an algorithm for learning $\mathcal{A}$-sums to accuracy $ε$ that uses $\mathsf{poly}(1/ε)$ samples and runs in time $\mathsf{poly}(1/ε)$, independent of $N$ and of the elements of $\mathcal{A}$. 2. For an arbitrary constant $k \geq 4$, if $\mathcal{A} = \{ a_1,...,a_k\}$ with $0 \leq a_1 < ... < a_k$, we give an algorithm that uses $\mathsf{poly}(1/ε) \cdot \log \log a_k$ samples (independent of $N$) and runs in time $\mathsf{poly}(1/ε, \log a_k).$ We prove an essentially matching lower bound: if $|\mathcal{A}| = 4$, then any algorithm must use $Ω(\log \log a_4) $ samples even for learning to constant accuracy. We also give similar-in-spirit (but quantitatively very different) algorithmic results, and essentially matching lower bounds, for the case in which $\mathcal{A}$ is not known to the learner.

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