Modeling and Forecasting Art Movements with CGANs
This work addresses the challenge of predicting artistic trends for art historians and AI researchers, though it is incremental as it builds on existing CGAN techniques.
The paper tackles the problem of modeling and forecasting art movements by proposing a novel method to train Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CGANs) on sequences of continuous latent distributions, enabling the generation of future paintings and showing accurate predictions with a small mean distance to plausible present art sets.
Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks~(CGAN) are a recent and popular method for generating samples from a probability distribution conditioned on latent information. The latent information often comes in the form of a discrete label from a small set. We propose a novel method for training CGANs which allows us to condition on a sequence of continuous latent distributions $f^{(1)}, \ldots, f^{(K)}$. This training allows CGANs to generate samples from a sequence of distributions. We apply our method to paintings from a sequence of artistic movements, where each movement is considered to be its own distribution. Exploiting the temporal aspect of the data, a vector autoregressive (VAR) model is fitted to the means of the latent distributions that we learn, and used for one-step-ahead forecasting, to predict the latent distribution of a future art movement $f^{(K+1)}$. Realisations from this distribution can be used by the CGAN to generate "future" paintings. In experiments, this novel methodology generates accurate predictions of the evolution of art. The training set consists of a large dataset of past paintings. While there is no agreement on exactly what current art period we find ourselves in, we test on plausible candidate sets of present art, and show that the mean distance to our predictions is small.