Learning Ising models from one or multiple samples
This work addresses a fundamental challenge in statistical learning for researchers, providing incremental improvements by bridging existing lines of work with new technical tools.
The paper tackles the problem of estimating Ising models from limited data, proposing a unified framework that interpolates between one-sample and multiple-sample settings, with guarantees for estimation error based on metric entropy and applications to sparse or structured interaction matrices.
There have been two separate lines of work on estimating Ising models: (1) estimating them from multiple independent samples under minimal assumptions about the model's interaction matrix; and (2) estimating them from one sample in restrictive settings. We propose a unified framework that smoothly interpolates between these two settings, enabling significantly richer estimation guarantees from one, a few, or many samples. Our main theorem provides guarantees for one-sample estimation, quantifying the estimation error in terms of the metric entropy of a family of interaction matrices. As corollaries of our main theorem, we derive bounds when the model's interaction matrix is a (sparse) linear combination of known matrices, or it belongs to a finite set, or to a high-dimensional manifold. In fact, our main result handles multiple independent samples by viewing them as one sample from a larger model, and can be used to derive estimation bounds that are qualitatively similar to those obtained in the afore-described multiple-sample literature. Our technical approach benefits from sparsifying a model's interaction network, conditioning on subsets of variables that make the dependencies in the resulting conditional distribution sufficiently weak. We use this sparsification technique to prove strong concentration and anti-concentration results for the Ising model, which we believe have applications beyond the scope of this paper.