Statistical Query Lower Bounds for List-Decodable Linear Regression
This provides evidence for the near-optimality of current methods in robust regression, addressing a problem in machine learning for handling adversarial noise.
The paper tackles list-decodable linear regression with adversarial corruption of a majority of examples, establishing a Statistical Query lower bound of d^poly(1/α) that matches existing algorithmic upper bounds.
We study the problem of list-decodable linear regression, where an adversary can corrupt a majority of the examples. Specifically, we are given a set $T$ of labeled examples $(x, y) \in \mathbb{R}^d \times \mathbb{R}$ and a parameter $0< α<1/2$ such that an $α$-fraction of the points in $T$ are i.i.d. samples from a linear regression model with Gaussian covariates, and the remaining $(1-α)$-fraction of the points are drawn from an arbitrary noise distribution. The goal is to output a small list of hypothesis vectors such that at least one of them is close to the target regression vector. Our main result is a Statistical Query (SQ) lower bound of $d^{\mathrm{poly}(1/α)}$ for this problem. Our SQ lower bound qualitatively matches the performance of previously developed algorithms, providing evidence that current upper bounds for this task are nearly best possible.