Multi-task Learning for Concurrent Prediction of Thermal Comfort, Sensation, and Preference
This work addresses the challenge of deploying thermal comfort prediction models in real-world settings like classrooms, where conflicting predictions hinder energy efficiency efforts, though it is incremental as it applies an existing multi-task learning approach to a new domain.
The paper tackles the problem of conflicting predictions from multiple single-task models for thermal comfort metrics by proposing DeepComfort, a multi-task deep learning model that simultaneously predicts thermal sensation, comfort, and preference, achieving over 90% accuracy and outperforming six single-task algorithms.
Indoor thermal comfort immensely impacts the health and performance of occupants. Therefore, researchers and engineers have proposed numerous computational models to estimate thermal comfort (TC). Given the impetus toward energy efficiency, the current focus is on data-driven TC prediction solutions that leverage state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) algorithms. However, an indoor occupant's perception of indoor thermal comfort (TC) is subjective and multi-dimensional. Different aspects of TC are represented by various standard metrics/scales viz., thermal sensation (TSV), thermal comfort (TCV), and thermal preference (TPV). The current ML-based TC prediction solutions adopt the Single-task Learning approach, i.e., one prediction model per metric. Consequently, solutions often focus on only one TC metric. Moreover, when several metrics are considered, multiple TC models for a single indoor space lead to conflicting predictions, making real-world deployment infeasible. This work addresses these problems. With the vision toward energy conservation and real-world application, naturally ventilated primary school classrooms are considered. First, month-long field experiments are conducted in 5 schools and 14 classrooms, including 512 unique student participants. Further, "DeepComfort," a Multi-task Learning inspired deep-learning model is proposed. DeepComfort predicts multiple TC output metrics viz., TSV, TPV, and TCV, simultaneously, through a single model. It demonstrates high F1-scores, Accuracy (>90%), and generalization capability when validated on the ASHRAE-II database and the dataset created in this study. DeepComfort is also shown to outperform 6 popular metric-specific single-task machine learning algorithms. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first application of Multi-task Learning to thermal comfort prediction in classrooms.