ROAIMar 28, 2025

SafeCast: Risk-Responsive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Vehicles

arXiv:2503.22541v13 citationsh-index: 13
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses safety and reliability in autonomous driving systems, though it is incremental by combining existing safety frameworks with novel uncertainty features.

The paper tackled motion forecasting for autonomous vehicles by integrating safety constraints and uncertainty modeling, achieving state-of-the-art accuracy on four real-world datasets with lightweight architecture and low latency.

Accurate motion forecasting is essential for the safety and reliability of autonomous driving (AD) systems. While existing methods have made significant progress, they often overlook explicit safety constraints and struggle to capture the complex interactions among traffic agents, environmental factors, and motion dynamics. To address these challenges, we present SafeCast, a risk-responsive motion forecasting model that integrates safety-aware decision-making with uncertainty-aware adaptability. SafeCast is the first to incorporate the Responsibility-Sensitive Safety (RSS) framework into motion forecasting, encoding interpretable safety rules--such as safe distances and collision avoidance--based on traffic norms and physical principles. To further enhance robustness, we introduce the Graph Uncertainty Feature (GUF), a graph-based module that injects learnable noise into Graph Attention Networks, capturing real-world uncertainties and enhancing generalization across diverse scenarios. We evaluate SafeCast on four real-world benchmark datasets--Next Generation Simulation (NGSIM), Highway Drone (HighD), ApolloScape, and the Macao Connected Autonomous Driving (MoCAD)--covering highway, urban, and mixed-autonomy traffic environments. Our model achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) accuracy while maintaining a lightweight architecture and low inference latency, underscoring its potential for real-time deployment in safety-critical AD systems.

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