STLGMar 11

Conformal e-prediction in the presence of confounding

arXiv:2603.11134v16.7h-index: 4
Predicted impact top 80% in ST · last 90 daysOriginality Synthesis-oriented
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This is an incremental extension for statistical prediction methods, with no specific problem or audience mentioned.

The paper extends conformal e-prediction to handle observed confounding between variables, addressing both IID and dependent data cases.

This note extends conformal e-prediction to cover the case where there is observed confounding between the random object $X$ and its label $Y$. We consider both the case where the observed data is IID and a case where some dependence between observations is permitted.

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