AIApr 16

Predicting Power-System Dynamic Trajectories with Foundation Models

arXiv:2604.1499131.5h-index: 11
Predicted impact top 85% in AI · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

For power system operators, this work provides a general-purpose trajectory prediction tool that addresses key challenges of parameter uncertainty, data privacy, and online inference speed, though the improvement over existing methods is incremental.

This paper introduces LASS-ODE-Power, a foundation model for predicting power-system dynamic trajectories that is pretrained on over 40 GB of ODE/DAE data and fine-tuned on 1 GB of power-system data. It achieves superior trajectory prediction accuracy compared to existing learning-based models while enabling fast inference and zero-shot generalization across diverse dynamic regimes.

As power systems transition toward renewable-rich and inverter-dominated operations, accurate time-domain dynamic analysis becomes increasingly critical. Such analysis supports key operational tasks, including transient stability assessment, dynamic security analysis, contingency screening, and post-fault trajectory evaluation. In practice, these tasks may operate under several challenges, including unknown and time-varying system parameters, privacy constraints on data sharing, and the need for fast online inference. Existing learning-based approaches are typically trained for individual systems and therefore lack generalization across operating conditions and physical parameters. Hence, this paper proposes LArge Scale Small ODE (LASS)-ODE-Power, a learning framework for general-purpose time-domain prediction. The proposed approach leverages large-scale pretraining on more than 40 GB of DAE or ordinary differential-equation (ODE) trajectories to learn transferable representations. The resulting model supports trajectory prediction from short measurement prefixes across diverse dynamic regimes, including electromechanical and inverter-driven systems. Hence, the model can be directly used without data sharing in a zero-shot setting. In addition, the proposed architecture incorporates parallel and linearized computation to achieve fast inference. Moreover, to enhance task-specific performance in power systems, a specialized fine-tuning strategy is developed based on approximately 1 GB of heterogeneous power-system dynamic data. Extensive experiments over diverse power-system simulation scenarios demonstrate that LASS-ODE-Power consistently outperforms existing learning-based models in trajectory prediction accuracy with efficient inference.

Foundations

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