Realizable Bayes-Consistency for General Metric Losses

arXiv:2605.0382343.3
Predicted impact top 58% in LG · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
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Provides a theoretical foundation for understanding when learning with general metric losses is possible in the realizable case, benefiting machine learning theorists studying consistency.

The paper characterizes necessary and sufficient conditions for strong universal Bayes-consistency in the realizable setting for general metric losses, extending prior work beyond 0-1 classification and real-valued regression. It introduces infinite non-decreasing (γ_k)-Littlestone trees as a combinatorial obstruction, resolving an open problem.

We study strong universal Bayes-consistency in the realizable setting for learning with general metric losses, extending classical characterizations beyond $0$-$1$ classification \citep{bousquet_theory_2021, hanneke2021universalbayesconsistencymetric} and real-valued regression \citep{attias_universal_2024}. Given an instance space $(\mathcal X,ρ)$, a label space $(\mathcal Y,\ell)$ with possibly unbounded loss, and a hypothesis class $\mathcal H \subseteq \mathcal Y^{\mathcal X}$, we resolve the realizable case of an open problem presented in \citet{pmlr-v178-cohen22a}. Specifically, we find the necessary and sufficient conditions on the hypothesis class $\mathcal H$ under which there exists a distribution-free learning rule whose risk converges almost surely to the best-in-class risk (which is zero) for every realizable data-generating distribution. Our main contribution is this sharp characterization in terms of a combinatorial obstruction: Similarly to \citet{attias2024optimallearnersrealizableregression}, we introduce the notion of an infinite non-decreasing $(γ_k)$-Littlestone tree, where $γ_k \to \infty$. This extends the Littlestone tree structure used in \citet{bousquet_theory_2021} to the metric loss setting.

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