AICEJun 10

MoCA-Agent: A Market-of-Claims Code Agent for Financial and Numerical Reasoning

arXiv:2606.11537v119.1h-index: 21Has Code
Predicted impact top 24% in AI · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

For practitioners of high-stakes numerical reasoning (e.g., finance, ESG), this work improves robustness by aggregating evidence at the atomic claim level rather than whole answers.

MoCA-Agent replaces free-form multi-agent debate with claim-level verification for financial and numerical reasoning, achieving 78.3% on FinQA, 76.0% on FinanceMath, 71.2% on MultiHiertt, 86.9% on ESGenius, and 85.6% average on FinChart-Bench using a fixed Qwen3.6-27B backbone.

Financial and tabular question answering requires more than fluent reasoning: answers must be grounded in the exact facts, formulas, units, signs, and scales that support them. A single misread cell or incorrect operation can silently produce a plausible but wrong result. We introduce \textsc{MOCA-Agent}, a market-of-claims code agent that replaces free-form multi-agent debate with claim-level verification. The system decomposes each question into typed atomic claims, asks specialist trader agents to buy or sell those claims, clears their orders into confidence-weighted accept/reject decisions, and synthesizes an executable Python program from market-supported evidence. A code-aware verifier then checks the program for execution, structural consistency, and common financial reasoning errors, with at most one market-aware repair round. Across ten public benchmarks spanning financial numerical reasoning, general tabular reasoning, ESG question answering, and multimodal chart reasoning, \textsc{MOCA-Agent} achieves strong performance using a fixed Qwen3.6-27B backbone, including $78.3\%$ on FinQA, $76.0\%$ on FinanceMath, $71.2\%$ on MultiHiertt, $86.9\%$ on ESGenius, and $85.6\%$ average on FinChart-Bench. These results show that aggregating evidence at the level of atomic claims, rather than whole answers, improves robustness in high-stakes numerical reasoning.\footnote{The code and data are available: https://github.com/UBC-NLP/MoCA-Agent.

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