Zadid Khan

Zadid Khan, Sakib Mahmud Khan, Ph. D. et al.

Traditionally, Departments of Transportation (DOTs) use the factor-based model to estimate Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) from short-term traffic counts. The expansion factors, derived from the permanent traffic count stations, are applied to the short-term counts for AADT estimation. The inherent challenges of the factor-based method (i.e., grouping the count stations, applying proper expansion factors) make the estimated AADT values erroneous. Based on a survey conducted by the authors, 97% of the 39 public transportation agencies use the factor-based AADT estimation model, and these agencies face the aforementioned challenges while using factor-based models to estimate AADT. To derive a more accurate AADT, this paper presents the "estimAADTion" software, which is an open-source software developed based on a machine learning method called support vector regression (SVR) for estimating AADT using 24-hour short-term count data. DOTs conduct short-term counts at different locations periodically. This software has been designed to estimate AADT at a particular location from the short-term counts collected at those locations. In order to estimate AADT from short-term counts, the software uses data from permanent count stations to train the SVR model. The performance of the "estimAADTion" software is validated using the short-term count data from South Carolina. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of the AADT estimated from the software is 3%, while the factor-based method produces a MAPE value of 6%.

Reek Majumder, Mashrur Chowdhury, Sakib Mahmud Khan et al.

Deep learning (DL)-based image classification models are essential for autonomous vehicle (AV) perception modules since incorrect categorization might have severe repercussions. Adversarial attacks are widely studied cyberattacks that can lead DL models to predict inaccurate output, such as incorrectly classified traffic signs by the perception module of an autonomous vehicle. In this study, we create and compare hybrid classical-quantum deep learning (HCQ-DL) models with classical deep learning (C-DL) models to demonstrate robustness against adversarial attacks for perception modules. Before feeding them into the quantum system, we used transfer learning models, alexnet and vgg-16, as feature extractors. We tested over 1000 quantum circuits in our HCQ-DL models for projected gradient descent (PGD), fast gradient sign attack (FGSA), and gradient attack (GA), which are three well-known untargeted adversarial approaches. We evaluated the performance of all models during adversarial attacks and no-attack scenarios. Our HCQ-DL models maintain accuracy above 95\% during a no-attack scenario and above 91\% for GA and FGSA attacks, which is higher than C-DL models. During the PGD attack, our alexnet-based HCQ-DL model maintained an accuracy of 85\% compared to C-DL models that achieved accuracies below 21\%. Our results highlight that the HCQ-DL models provide improved accuracy for traffic sign classification under adversarial settings compared to their classical counterparts.

Zadid Khan, Mashrur Chowdhury, Sakib Mahmud Khan

Adversarial attacks can make deep neural network (DNN) models predict incorrect output labels, such as misclassified traffic signs, for autonomous vehicle (AV) perception modules. Resilience against adversarial attacks can help AVs navigate safely on the road by avoiding misclassication of signs or objects. This DNN-based study develops a resilient traffic sign classifier for AVs that uses a hybrid defense method. We use transfer learning to retrain the Inception-V3 and Resnet-152 models as traffic sign classifiers. This method also utilizes a combination of three different strategies: random filtering, ensembling, and local feature mapping. We use the random cropping and resizing technique for random filtering, plurality voting as ensembling strategy and an optical character recognition model as a local feature mapper. This DNN-based hybrid defense method has been tested for the no attack scenario and against well-known untargeted adversarial attacks (e.g., Projected Gradient Descent or PGD, Fast Gradient Sign Method or FGSM, Momentum Iterative Method or MIM attack, and Carlini and Wagner or C&W). We find that our hybrid defense method achieves 99% average traffic sign classification accuracy for the no attack scenario and 88% average traffic sign classification accuracy for all attack scenarios. Moreover, the hybrid defense method, presented in this study, improves the accuracy for traffic sign classification compared to the traditional defense methods (i.e., JPEG filtering, feature squeezing, binary filtering, and random filtering) up to 6%, 50%, and 55% for FGSM, MIM, and PGD attacks, respectively.

Mhafuzul Islam, Mashrur Chowdhury, Zadid Khan et al.

A classical computer works with ones and zeros, whereas a quantum computer uses ones, zeros, and superpositions of ones and zeros, which enables quantum computers to perform a vast number of calculations simultaneously compared to classical computers. In a cloud-supported cyber-physical system environment, running a machine learning application in quantum computers is often difficult, due to the existing limitations of the current quantum devices. However, with the combination of quantum-classical neural networks (NN), complex and high-dimensional features can be extracted by the classical NN to a reduced but more informative feature space to be processed by the existing quantum computers. In this study, we develop a hybrid quantum-classical NN to detect an amplitude shift cyber-attack on an in-vehicle control area network (CAN) dataset. We show that using the hybrid quantum classical NN, it is possible to achieve an attack detection accuracy of 94%, which is higher than a Long short-term memory (LSTM) NN (87%) or quantum NN alone (62%)

Zadid Khan, Sakib Mahmud Khan, Jean Michel Tine et al.

The efficiency and reliability of real-time incident detection models directly impact the affected corridors' traffic safety and operational conditions. The recent emergence of cloud-based quantum computing infrastructure and innovations in noisy intermediate-scale quantum devices have revealed a new era of quantum-enhanced algorithms that can be leveraged to improve real-time incident detection accuracy. In this research, a hybrid machine learning model, which includes classical and quantum machine learning (ML) models, is developed to identify incidents using the connected vehicle (CV) data. The incident detection performance of the hybrid model is evaluated against baseline classical ML models. The framework is evaluated using data from a microsimulation tool for different incident scenarios. The results indicate that a hybrid neural network containing a 4-qubit quantum layer outperforms all other baseline models when there is a lack of training data. We have created three datasets; DS-1 with sufficient training data, and DS-2 and DS-3 with insufficient training data. The hybrid model achieves a recall of 98.9%, 98.3%, and 96.6% for DS-1, DS-2, and DS-3, respectively. For DS-2 and DS-3, the average improvement in F2-score (measures model's performance to correctly identify incidents) achieved by the hybrid model is 1.9% and 7.8%, respectively, compared to the classical models. It shows that with insufficient data, which may be common for CVs, the hybrid ML model will perform better than the classical models. With the continuing improvements of quantum computing infrastructure, the quantum ML models could be a promising alternative for CV-related applications when the available data is insufficient.

Reek Majumder, Sakib Mahmud Khan, Fahim Ahmed et al.

Image classification must work for autonomous vehicles (AV) operating on public roads, and actions performed based on image misclassification can have serious consequences. Traffic sign images can be misclassified by an adversarial attack on machine learning models used by AVs for traffic sign recognition. To make classification models resilient against adversarial attacks, we used a hybrid deep-learning model with both the quantum and classical layers. Our goal is to study the hybrid deep-learning architecture for classical-quantum transfer learning models to support the current era of intermediate-scale quantum technology. We have evaluated the impacts of various white box adversarial attacks on these hybrid models. The classical part of hybrid models includes a convolution network from the pre-trained Resnet18 model, which extracts informative features from a high dimensional LISA traffic sign image dataset. The output from the classical processor is processed further through the quantum layer, which is composed of various quantum gates and provides support to various quantum mechanical features like entanglement and superposition. We have tested multiple combinations of quantum circuits to provide better classification accuracy with decreasing training data and found better resiliency for our hybrid classical-quantum deep learning model during attacks compared to the classical-only machine learning models.

Mashrur Chowdhury, Mhafuzul Islam, Zadid Khan

The transportation system is rapidly evolving with new connected and automated vehicle (CAV) technologies that integrate CAVs with other vehicles and roadside infrastructure in a cyberphysical system (CPS). Through connectivity, CAVs affect their environments and vice versa, increasing the size of the cyberattack surface and the risk of exploitation of security vulnerabilities by malicious actors. Thus, greater understanding of potential CAV-CPS cyberattacks and of ways to prevent them is a high priority. In this article we describe CAV-CPS cyberattack surfaces and security vulnerabilities, and outline potential cyberattack detection and mitigation strategies. We examine emerging technologies - artificial intelligence, software-defined networks, network function virtualization, edge computing, information-centric and virtual dispersive networking, fifth generation (5G) cellular networks, blockchain technology, and quantum and postquantum cryptography - as potential solutions aiding in securing CAVs and transportation infrastructure against existing and future cyberattacks.

Gurcan Comert, Zadid Khan, Mizanur Rahman et al.

Traffic congestion at a signalized intersection greatly reduces the travel time reliability in urban areas. Adaptive signal control system (ASCS) is the most advanced traffic signal technology that regulates the signal phasing and timings considering the patterns in real-time in order to reduce congestion. Real-time prediction of queue lengths can be used to adjust the phasing and timings for different movements at an intersection with ASCS. The accuracy of the prediction varies based on the factors, such as the stochastic nature of the vehicle arrival rates, time of the day, weather and driver characteristics. In addition, accurate prediction for multilane, undersaturated and saturated traffic scenarios is challenging. Thus, the objective of this study is to develop queue length prediction models for signalized intersections that can be leveraged by ASCS using four variations of Grey systems: (i) the first order single variable Grey model (GM(1,1)); (ii) GM(1,1) with Fourier error corrections; (iii) the Grey Verhulst model (GVM), and (iv) GVM with Fourier error corrections. The efficacy of the GM is that they facilitate fast processing; as these models do not require a large amount of data; as would be needed in artificial intelligence models; and they are able to adapt to stochastic changes, unlike statistical models. We have conducted a case study using queue length data from five intersections with ASCS on a calibrated roadway network in Lexington, South Carolina. GM were compared with linear, nonlinear time series models, and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. Based on our analyses, we found that EGVM reduces the prediction error over closest competing models (i.e., LSTM and time series models) in predicting average and maximum queue lengths by 40% and 42%, respectively, in terms of Root Mean Squared Error, and 51% and 50%, respectively, in terms of Mean Absolute Error.

Zadid Khan, Mashrur Chowdhury, Mhafuzul Islam et al.

A modern vehicle contains many electronic control units (ECUs), which communicate with each other through the in-vehicle network to ensure vehicle safety and performance. Emerging Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) will have more ECUs and coupling between them due to the vast array of additional sensors, advanced driving features and Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) connectivity. Due to the connectivity, CAVs will be more vulnerable to remote attackers. In this study, we developed a software-defined in-vehicle Ethernet networking system that provides security against false information attacks. We then created an attack model and attack datasets for false information attacks on brake-related ECUs. After analyzing the attack dataset, we found that the features of the dataset are time-series that have sequential variation patterns. Therefore, we subsequently developed a long short term memory (LSTM) neural network based false information attack/anomaly detection model for the real-time detection of anomalies within the in-vehicle network. This attack detection model can detect false information with an accuracy, precision and recall of 95%, 95% and 87%, respectively, while satisfying the real-time communication and computational requirements.

MD Zadid Khan, Sakib Mahmud Khan, Mashrur Chowdhury et al.

The prediction of high-resolution hourly traffic volumes of a given roadway is essential for transportation planning. Traditionally, Automatic Traffic Recorders (ATR) are used to collect this hourly volume data. These large datasets are time series data characterized by long-term temporal dependencies and missing values. Regarding the temporal dependencies, all roadways are characterized by seasonal variations that can be weekly, monthly or yearly, depending on the cause of the variation. Regarding the missing data in a time-series sequence, traditional time series forecasting models perform poorly under the influence of seasonal variations. To address this limitation, robust, Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) based, multi-step ahead forecasting models are developed for time-series in this study. The simple RNN, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) units are used to develop the model and evaluate its performance. Two approaches are used to address the missing value issue: masking and imputation, in conjunction with the RNN models. Six different imputation algorithms are then used to identify the best model. The analysis indicates that the LSTM model performs better than simple RNN and GRU models, and imputation performs better than masking to predict future traffic volume. Based on analysis using 92 ATRs, the LSTM-Median model is deemed the best model in all scenarios for hourly traffic volume and AADT prediction, with an average RMSE of 274 and MAPE of 18.91% for hourly traffic volume prediction and average RMSE of 824 and MAPE of 2.10% for AADT prediction.

Sakib Mahmud Khan, Sababa Islam, MD Zadid Khan et al.

Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) is an important parameter used in traffic engineering analysis. Departments of Transportation (DOTs) continually collect traffic count using both permanent count stations (i.e., Automatic Traffic Recorders or ATRs) and temporary short-term count stations. In South Carolina, 87% of the ATRs are located on interstates and arterial highways. For most secondary highways (i.e., collectors and local roads), AADT is estimated based on short-term counts. This paper develops AADT estimation models for different roadway functional classes with two machine learning techniques: Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). The models aim to predict AADT from short-term counts. The results are first compared against each other to identify the best model. Then, the results of the best model are compared against a regression method and factor-based method. The comparison reveals the superiority of SVR for AADT estimation for different roadway functional classes over all other methods. Among all developed models for different functional roadway classes, the SVR-based model shows a minimum root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.22 and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 11.3% for the interstate/expressway functional class. This model also shows a higher R-squared value compared to the traditional factor-based model and regression model. SVR models are validated for each roadway functional class using the 2016 ATR data and selected short-term count data collected by the South Carolina Department of Transportation (SCDOT). The validation results show that the SVR-based AADT estimation models can be used by the SCDOT as a reliable option to predict AADT from the short-term counts.