Perceived risk evolution in automated driving inferred from large-scale discrete ratings
This work addresses the challenge of understanding dynamic risk perception in automated driving for researchers and developers, though it is incremental as it builds on existing methods for risk measurement.
The study tackled the problem of measuring perceived risk in automated driving by inferring its temporal evolution from discrete clipwise ratings, revealing scenario differences not identifiable from peak judgments alone and mapping these evolutions to vehicle and motion cues with a deep neural network.
Perceived risk in automated driving is often measured as discrete scores that summarise riding experience but this obscures volatile peaks from sustained elevation. Here we treat discrete clipwise ratings as constraints on an unobserved inferred evolution and apply a kernel constrained inverse model to infer the temporal evolution of perceived risk. Across 2,164 participants and 141,628 discrete clipwise ratings spanning 236 hours of scripted motorway interactions, we infer evolutions under kernel constraints whose shapes follow priors from independent handset-based ratings and whose timing is fixed by scripted manoeuvre markers. The inferred perceived risk evolutions differentiate accumulated perceived risk from within clip concentration, revealing scenario differences that are not identifiable from peak judgements alone. We then map these inferred evolutions from observable vehicle and relative motion cues under strict event level holdout using a deep neural network, enabling interpretable attribution analyses. Attribution shows distinct patterns between risk rising and falling segments, with a shift toward conflict cues in the rising phase, and a rebound toward stability cues in the falling phase. Attribution concentration increases only modestly at high perceived risk levels. These results move beyond treating perceived risk as a single severity score by characterising within episode dynamics and phase dependent cue associations in scripted motorway interactions.